united STATES
Jarand Rystad predict the oil price of 105 dollars a barrel in 2021. The higher prices will provide new all-time-high on the Norwegian continental shelf.
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A new top level of activity on the Norwegian continental shelf is only a few years away. It think Jarand Rystad in Rystad Energy – one of the world’s leading experts on the development of the oil industry.
I believe in a new all-time high on the Norwegian shelf after 2020, ” said Jarand Rystad at Dagens Næringsliv energikonferanse in Oslo on Tuesday morning.
the Investments on the Norwegian continental shelf is expected to be around 150 billion next year at closer to 220 billion in 2014.
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Barents sea drag activity
There is discovery in the Barents sea as Alta, Gotha, Castberg and Wisting that will drive the activity on the Norwegian continental shelf to a new peak. The development comes in the wake of a powerful effektivitetsforbedring on the Norwegian continental shelf.
- Impressive, called Rystad effektivitetsforbedringen and pointed out among other things, on the number of meters able to drill per day.
- While at the same time riggratene powerful down. It makes brønnkostnadene on the Norwegian continental shelf has gone from 500 million per well for 300 million. Breakevenkostnadene goes down. They are going to continue to go down. Projects will come to look very attractive out.. It will give a new wave of developments on the Norwegian continental shelf, says Rystad.
In contrast to many other experts, believe Rystad that it produced too little oil in the world.
-It is a undertilbud of oil in 2016. There is no consensus in the market, ” says Rystad.
Think of 100 dollars in 2021
He also believes that next year will be tilbudstrekk in the oil market. At the same time, the demand for oil next year round of 100 million barrels a day.
-We believe oil prices will round a three-digit level in July 2021, said Rystad and pointed on the graph analyseselskapet his has made. The graph shows 62 per barrel next summer, 75 dollars in July of 2018, 88 dollars in 2019, 97 dollars in 2020 and 105 dollars in 2021.
Rystad warns against letting himself glare of a seemingly strong falling balansepris for skiferoljeproduksjon in the united STATES.
-This scares the water of some, he said, and pointed to a sharply declining kostnadsgraf.
But to get to the growth in production must be drilled a number of wells that have high costs, claimed Rystad.
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