the head of The international energy agency (IEA) participated on Thursday in the conference Energy for Tomorrow, which was arranged by the newspaper The New York Times in Paris.
Birol took the opportunity to pour a bucket of ice-cold water over elbilentusiastene in the saddle.
I do not believe in the argument that electric cars alone will cause the demand for oil passes the top. At least not in the short or medium term, ” said Birol.
the Reason is that the growth in demand for oil does not come from passenger cars. It comes from trucks, aircraft, and petrochemical industry. Today we have no adequate alternatives to oil here, he said.
IEA-the director adds later this month forward the Iea’s annual report World Energy Outlook. This report is considered one of the most important sources of knowledge about how energy consumption and utslippe will develop.
ENERGY-PEAK: Fatih Birol is the managing director of The international energy agency (IEA).
Not enough
Birol stressed that he did not want to take the courage for the innovators. It is very good with electric cars, had he.
– But we must put things in perspective, ” said Birol.
If every other passenger car sold in the world in the next 20 years, is an electric vehicle, we will still not reach any peak in demand for oil. It will continue to grow, he said.
According to him is not the world on the way to achieving the klimamålene in Parisavtalen. The development goes in the right direction in Europe, but the strong growth in Asia is starting to steer the world towards a warming of far more than 2 degrees.
Oljebransjens case
But Statoil boss will think that the electric vehicle is it that triggers oljebransjens case. He said earlier this year that the oil industry may have passed the peak already in 2020. But this fremtidsscenarioet, estimates the company’s experts that the total demand for oil and gas will be at approximately the same level in 2040 as today.
DNB Markets told in the summer that they believe that there will be increased demand for oil, even if they put in a drastic annual decline in the market shares of oil and coal, and an annual growth in renewable energy, which is far higher than we see today.
FAITH: Climate and miljøminister Vidar Helgesen, here together with prime minister Erna Solberg, believe Birol underestimate technology within the number of heavy transport trucks.
Technology evolves
the Climate and miljøminister Vidar Helgesen (H) were in place at the conference in Paris. He believes Birol is right that the really big challenges is not located in personbilmarkedet.
Where are things about to resolve themselves in a convincing way, even if it’s going to go slowly if not more countries are introducing incentives. The big question is how tungtransporten develops, ” says Helgesen to the NTB.
He, nevertheless, believes Birol underestimate the technological development within the number of heavy transport trucks and mentions hydrogenlastebiler as an alternative that begins to be interesting.
Planning the electrical path along the E39: Power on lastebiltaket will transport goods from Kristiansand to Trondheim
In the airline industry is it further ahead. Have you rekkeviddeangst in the car, so welcome on board of the aircraft. But where will biofuels be an important part of the solution, predict Helgesen.
Total is the transport sector for about 55 per cent of the world’s oil consumption.
Earlier in the year could Aftenposten tell that the Tine has ordered one copy of the hybridlastebilen Nikola One, and already in november of last year wrote the E24 about Asko which started the testing of battery-powered trucks in Oslo, Bergen and Kristiansand.
Over 1 million
the Iea’s own benchmarks show that last year was merkeåret where the number of electric cars on the roads of the world passed the 1 million mark. The number is tripled in just two years.
It is the united STATES and China, which has the most electric vehicles, but in relation to our size, it is the Uk who is in the lead. By the end of 2015 amounted to electric vehicles 2.6 per cent of the registered passenger cars were in Norway.
Elbilsalget in Norway has been somewhat lower this year than last year, and electric cars are now in excess of 15 percent of the new passenger cars that are registered.
Government Solberg has decided that 100 per cent of the nybilsalget in 2025 will consist of electric cars.
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